⚽️ SorareData Newsletter, Issue 15 ⚽️
First things first: we want to apologize for the delay in delivering this issue of the newsletter. The launch of Sorare NBA has been awesome, but it’s also been incredibly time consuming, and this newsletter was an unfortunate victim. But don’t worry, we won’t let it happen again (or at least we’ll try really hard to not let it happen again!).
For those interested in what we offer, and/or plan to offer, for Sorare’s NBA game, there will be a newsletter for that product as well; stay tuned for the first issue!
And finally, in case you didn’t know: we’re hiring! If you’re interested in joining us and fit one of the profiles we’re looking for, please don’t hesitate to apply!
🔦 Feature Spotlight
Are weekend gameweek rewards better than midweeks? 🏅🎖
📺 Latest Streams and Podcasts 🎧
🔦 Feature Spotlight
Live Market: Our Live Market page includes all auctions and secondary market offers alongside vital information to help SorareData members analyze prices of cards of all scarcities. The page also includes helpful filters that allow users to narrow their searches down by sport, player position, SO5 or domestic league, club, age, playing status, and current availability.
Additionally, users can filter by price range and SO5 score range, as well as whether a player has a match in a specific upcoming gameweek.
The card information adds even more, including recent sales average, current asking price, floor price (the lowest-priced card of that player and scarcity on the secondary market), their L5 and L15 average scores, the player’s matchup in the next gameweek, and the duration of the offer.
Seeing all of this information in one place helps all SorareData members make more informed buying decisions, regardless of their gallery size or targeted cards.
Are weekend gameweek rewards better than midweeks?
There is a fairly common belief among Sorare managers that the value of top rewards distributed after weekend gameweeks is higher than midweeks. Given that a big part of our (SorareData’s) existence is to track this type of information, we thought it was worthwhile to look and see if this belief is warranted or not.
There are a few issues each gameweek that will affect the data, including the value of ETH v. USD/EUR/GBP at the time rewards are distributed, as well as the fact that some first-place prizes are more valuable than others. For example, no one (well, most people) would be fine if Lionel Messi was the top prize in All Star Limited one gameweek and Gianluigi Donnarumma was the following. They’re both big prizes, but one has a current three-day average of 0.750 ETH/$1,118, while the other is 0.559/$849.
This can also be taken to the extreme with players like Kylian Mbappé, who will look like a total outlier when he’s awarded, with a three-day average of 1.210/$1,779 for his limited card. And that’s what we see when we plot out the first-place prize value in All Star Limited since GW 292, with the four peaks all representing Joshua Kimmich, who was valued at 1.305/$2,101 after being distributed as a GW 298 prize, 1.3266/$2,073 in GW 301, 1.4203/$2,472 in GW 304 and 1.4196/$2,038 in GW305.
For the purpose of this exercise, let’s examine the star rewards from All Star Limited since the main European leagues’ seasons began:
(note: weekend gameweeks are even numbered and colored in blue)
Given that three of the four Kimmich rewards were distributed after weekend gameweeks, the belief that those gameweeks are better for rewards seems justified. It’s also a pretty good visual about how much an outlier can skew the graph. GW 310 (the first with club football back after an international break) looks quite low compared to Kimmich, but winning a Robert Lewandowski card for first place seems reasonable, no?
But let’s take out the first-place outliers and see what happens when we look at the second-place prizes:
The graphs start to become more consistent when looking at second-place prizes, but why was there such an outlier in GW306?
Ah, Kimmich again! Should we jump down to the third-place prize, where we know Kimmich isn’t going to mess up our graph? Let’s do it!
We also see a kind of dual-gameweek valuation pattern, where GWs 292 and 293 are similar, 294 and 295 are close, and so on. Obviously there are some GWs that pop, but it’s pretty tough to ignore some of the similarities (like 304 and 305, 313 and 314).
We also have to recognize that the total number of rewards distributed each gameweek is different, as midweeks tend to have fewer prizes because fewer licensed clubs play. The reality is also that fewer lineups are entered, so in terms of the number of entries versus rewards, the differences aren’t drastic.
One last way to look at the numbers from a gameweek-to-gameweek basis is the value of the last star reward distributed each week to see if there is any kind of consistency.
And what we see is a little more consistency, as well as some GW valuation pairs, such as in GWs 298 and 299, 304 and 305, 308 and 309, 311 and 312. We can also see that the midweeks have actually had some of the higher-valued rewards distributed, which goes against the original belief. So, while the first-place rewards may be better in terms of valuations, the midweek rewards as a whole may actually be better, even if there are fewer Sorare managers winning them.
Want to see more details about rewards? Check out the Rewards tab within our Gameweek Center.
📺 Latest Streams and Podcasts 🎧
Subscribe on YouTube, Spotify and Apple Podcasts
SorareData Strategy Show: Building an ETH threshold team for $250
Lairdinho and psufans2 use various SorareData tools to see if they can build a team that can consistently compete for ETH threshold rewards for no more than $250.
SorareAndrews Podcast: The Work of Sorare, Part Deux
Lairdinho and Black follow up on last week's discussion about the work of Sorare, touching on topics such as following auctions, building trade offers and optimizing training lineups.